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Market Brief
There was a subdued open to global markets with risk appetite mixed
and trading volumes thin. As we expected, the Sendai G7 meeting of finance
ministers and central bank governors provided nothing of substance. Members
were able to sketch out a negotiated agreement on the coordination of
macro-policy. However, there is a growing sense that coordination is breaking
down between member nations. This comes on the back of a rising sentiment among
members that independently managing their own domestic policy is the cleanest
solution. The division is highlighted by the friction between the US and Japan
and the fiscal approach rejected by Germany and the UK. Again, this is a case
of action versus words. We anticipate that this week's Ise-Shima G7 summit on
26-27 May will stick to the company line although executions may be deficient.
Outside of policy issues the G7 members were united against a “Brexit.” UK
polls are showing a clear deviation away from Brexit as undecided voters
migrate to the “remain” camp with bookmakers predicting a 20% (from 24% last
week) probability of UK leaving the EU.
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