Thursday, September 18, 2014

Forex forecast

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 If GBP/USD managed to break clearly above 1.6440, Chris Capre, Founder at 2ndSkies, notes that next key upside resistance levels beyond are 1.6500 and 1.6540.

"As we mentioned in our members commentary yesterday, we suspected the GBP was more likely to rally as the price action was building up to that prior to the election."

"The main reasoning behind this was the stats on Betfair, showing 84% of the bets were for a 'No' vote on Scottish independence, thus reflecting the likely participation of the 'smart' money on the No side."

"Our main resistance levels mentioned were 1.6340 and 1.6440, and both those levels were tagged today as the pair pushed consistently higher. You can clearly see in the 1hr chart how the market reacted to both levels, treating the former as an intra-day role reversal level."

"For now while the votes are being collected, traders will want to watch the 1.6440 key resistance as the cable is leaning towards forming a break above here. Upside resistance levels beyond this are 1.6500 and 1.6540."
 Sean Callow, analyst at Westpac Banking Corporation ABN gave an insight of the FX space overnight leading us into the Asian session with key events.

“Global risk appetite was mostly firm. The ECB's first TLTRO was a flop, with very muted interest from banks (raising hopes for QE) while EUR/CHF dropped as the SNB produced dovish forecasts but no new policies”. 

“GBP bounced in expectation of Scotland remaining in the UK”. 

“Results are due in the Asian morning. Over the weekend we have the G20 meeting and NZ election”.
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