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Market Brief
The New Zealand’s trade deficit narrowed faster than expected in November from NZD -908 million to -213 million (vs. -575mn exp.), exports remained mostly stable (4.02billion), as imports decreased from 4.94 billion to 4.24 billion. NZD/USD remains offered below its 21-dma & Ichimoku conversion line (0.7775/76). The bias remains slightly negative.
AUD/USD extends weakness to 0.8088 in the continuation of its steady slide toward 80 cents. The sentiment remains AUD-bearish with traders now betting on higher probability RBA rate cuts in 2015 on commodity sell-off and ECB QE. Bids are presumed pre-0.80, light option offers trail below. AUD/NZD consolidates at fresh year lows (1.0477) with further slide presumed.
JPY crosses traded quiet due to Tokyo holidays. USD/JPY stepped gently above 120.00. With Abenomics still in charge post December 14th, the USD/JPY is ready to advance steadily higher. The first target sits at 121.85 (Dec 8th high). EUR/JPY remains well offered below the Ichi base line (147.37) on broad EUR-negative sentiment.
Moody’s lowered Russia’s FX deposit ceiling to Ba1 from Baa2, foreign currency bond ceiling to Baa2 from A3, warned the Russian FX reserves will continue falling in 2015. The ruble unwind cools-off for the moment, there is talk of government forcing the main exporters to sell their excessive USD from business proceeds. In term, the broad direction remains RUB-negative. The support zone is seen at 48.70/50.00 (50-dma / psychological level).

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Market Brief

The FX markets alter levels once extremely volatile week on FOMC call, oil drop and surprise rate actions from Russia and Swiss Confederation. The Asian equity markets listed in inexperienced this Friday: Nikkei gained 2.39%, droop Seng and Shanghai’s Composite recovered 1.33% and 1.67%, ASX rallied 2.45%. EUR/USD consolidated weakness at the tight vary of 1.2274/98 in Asia. per week shut below 1.2325 can send the MACD within the red zone. The EUR sentiment remains negative on ECB QE expectations as presently because the half-moon of 2015 and hawkish sentiment vis-à-vis the Fed policy outlook. massive choice barriers path below 1.2300 for the big apple cut.

GBP/USD can seemingly end inside its Gregorian calendar month – Dec downtrend channel. The surprise retail sales 6.9% y/y (ex-autos) didn't push GBP/USD into optimistic consolidation zone amid the CPI fell to a quarter y/y and therefore the state deteriorated to 6. choice barriers pathbelow 1.5650 /1.5700 for these days expiration. EUR/GBP took a dive to October-December ascending base (0.78325). The bias is negative, choice barriers ar solid at 0.7850/0.7900 for these days expiration. Break below the bottom ought to signal deeper sell-off.

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Market Brief

The SNB introduced negative interest rate (-0.25%) on sight deposits at European open today amid persisting pressure on EUR/CHF’ 1.20 floor, said ready to take more measures if needed. EUR/CHF spiked to 1.20974 post-announcement. We believe that the policy action will temporary ease the selling pressures on EUR/CHF, however more steps will certainly be needed to defend the floor if the ECB moves toward a full-blown QE by the first quarter of 2015. USD/CHF hit fresh year high of 0.9848. The MACD should step in the bullish zone for a daily close above 0.9810, suggest extension of October-December bull-trend.

The FOMC dropped the “considerable time” rhetoric as mostly expected, yet maintained its cautious stance regarding the timing of the first FF rate hike. FOMC Chair Yellen said “the committee considers it unlikely to begin the normalization process for at least the next couple of meetings”, therefore giving itself the flexibility needed before taking any action in hurry. The Asian equity markets traded in green post-FOMC. The US 10-year yields did little, still below 2.15% in Asia.

EUR/USD sold-off to 1.2321 post-FOMC, to 1.2278 post-SNB. The positive trend got a clear hit over the past two sessions. Option barriers trail below 1.2300 for today expiry, a close below 1.2242/47 (MACD pivot & Dec 8th low) should confirm fresh wave of EUR sell-off. EUR/GBP steps back below 0.79000. First line of support stand at 0.78325 (October-December ascending base).

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Market Brief
The Russian financial institution raised its key rate from 10.5% to Revolutionary Organization 17 November effective from these days amid USD/RUB spiked to fresh-all-time high of 64.2614. USD/RUB gap opened at 62.4661 and sharply bounced verse USD. The sentiment remains RUB-negative as crude continues its slide. The WTI contracts tests $55. Some suppose that the Fed has to take under consideration the sizeable oil slide at its 2 days meeting ranging from these days.
The Asian equity markets were largely oversubscribed on weakening oil concerns: Nikkei wrote-off a pair of.01%, Shanghai’s Composite lost 1.15%, national capital Composite, Sensex and Kospi people 1.66%, 1.30% and 0.85% severally, as traders move toward a risk-off mood before the FOMC call (due Wed). The Shanghai’s Composite has been the sole winner nightlong, added 2.31%.
The Japanese press association Nikkei same Japan considers 2.5% company rate cut. USD/JPY and JPY crosses were sluggish in Tokio. USD/JPY people to 117.13. we have a tendency to see area for deeper draw back correction given the strengthening bear momentum. Bids ar seen pre-117.00 from long-horizon investors. a lot of support is eyelike at a hundred and fifteen.46/50 (Nov seventeenth low / Fib 61.8% on Oct-Dec rally). EUR/JPY attacks the daily Ichimoku baseline (146.18) with next support zone placed at 143.81/145.00 (Fib 61.8% on Oct-Dec rally / optionality).
The RBA minutes reiterated bank’s intention of stable rates, talked down the indweller. AUD/USD rebounded from 0.8200 for the second consecutive day. possibility bets take over the market below 0.82 at the last half of the week. we have a tendency to expect the AUD/USD to continue its steady slide toward eighty cents.
GBP/USD cleared 1.57 support on broad based mostly USD strength yesterday. the united kingdom releases November inflation figures these days. The headline CPI is anticipated to ease from 1.3% to 1.2% on year to November, the core CPI is seen stable at 1.5%. only if additional CPI deterioration on slippery oil costs is usually priced in, we have a tendency to don't expect a sizeable value action on soft browse. we have a tendency to keep our pessimistic bias on GBP verse USD as given the strict tone on the financial leg, the BoE has very little area for amazingly hawkish move.
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Market Brief
The Japanese PM Abe’s LDP wins Sunday polls, yet with record low support to Abenomics. The Tankan index came in softer for large manufacturing composite, slightly better for non-manufacturing activity and sufficiently discouraging for all small caps. JPY-crosses traded mixed, Nikkei stocks opened the week 1.57% lower. USD/JPY saw support at Ichimoku base line 117.85. Trend and momentum indicators remain negative, and we see consolidation before renewed attempt above 120.00. EUR/JPY retreated to 146.84, deeper sell-off is expected toward Ichimoku baseline, 145.93.
AUD/USD extended weakness to 0.8204 as government revised its year-end forecast for a wider cash deficit of AUD 40.4 billion from an early 29.8 billion due to weaker iron ore prices. “Primarily as a result of collapse in iron ore prices by over 30% and weaker than expected wage growth, tax receipts have been revised down” said Treasurer Joe Hockey. Spot iron ore delivered to China remains below $70. We expect AUD/USD to continue its steady slide toward 80 cents.
In China, the USD/CNY is still subject to offers above 6.20+. Support is building above the 200-dma, currently at 6.1804. Chinese bureau of statistics is expected to announce improved GDP results this month. The key question is whether China achieved its 7.5% growth target in 2014 or not.
EUR/USD opened the week above its 21-dma (1.2434), with short-term technicals still pointing on more correction. The pair is expected to make higher attempts before Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. Resistance is seen at 1.2540 (50-dma), then 1.2600 (Nov 19th high). We remain seller on rallies given that Fed/ECB divergence to inevitably continue weighing on the pair walking into 2015. EUR/GBP upside correction strengthens. A daily close above 0.7935 (MACD pivot) should push the cross higher. Decent option related offers trail below 0.7875 (Friday low) for today expiry.

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Market Brief
As expected, the RBNZ maintained its official money rate unchanged at 3.50% and delayed the temporal arrangement of next rate hike from the primary to the last half of 2015. a lot of hawkish-than-expected rhetoric pushed NZD/USD shortly to 0.7871. however Governor Wheeler reiterated that the Kiwi remains unsustainable high and may considerably depreciate. The MACD can step in optimistic consolidation zone for a daily shut higher than 0.7858 and signal deeper face correction. light-weight choice bids path higher than 0.7850 for today’s expiration.

In Australia, AUD/USD rallied to zero.8376 amid Australian economy else 42’700 jobs in Gregorian calendar month. However, 40.8K of those jobs are part-time verse 1.8K fully time solely. The state advanced from six.2% to 6.3%. unconvinced , AUD/USD fell back through the session. The bias remains negative, face makes an attempt ought to see restricted follow through. Solid resistance is sharp-eyed pre 0.8541 (former low). AUD/NZD dips to 1.0624, forming a triple bottom (Jul tenth, December ten & 11th). a possibility below ought to open the thanks to 1.0493/1.0536 (year low / March low).

EUR/USD consolidates before the allotment of the TLTRO2 due at 10:15 time. the primary spherical of the targeted LTRO program in September had greatly unsuccessful with solely 82.60 billion euros season to 255 banks. whereas the utmost quantity the ECB is prepared to lend stands at an overseas four hundred billion euros, we tend to believe that the result within the TLTRO 2 could also be nothing near that objective. The accord for December take-up has fallen below the recent a hundred and seventy billion euros expected. Soft outcome ought to increase QE expectations and push EUR/USD back to its market. we tend to stay marketer on rallies, unless a surprise take-up higher than 200 billion euros which might result in a revision.

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Market Brief
High commercialism volumes squeezed EUR and JPY at the big apple commercialism session yesterday. USD/JPY sharply born to 117.95 (slightly below the 21-dma) once clearing stop-loss sell orders in 119.20/50 area. The MACD stepped in red zone, steep Nov-Dec uptrend channel and 9-day Ichimoku conversion line have each been broken on the draw back, suggesting the start of short-run pessimistic reversal pattern. we tend to stand prepared for prime market vols in JPY-crosses before December ordinal snap elections. nevertheless given the market remains solidly long in USD, the draw back correction in USD/JPY is predicted to stay restricted. The key short term support stands at 117.24 (Nov twenty seventh low). EUR/JPY tumbled right down to 146.80, additional weakness ought to be envisaged with buoyant EUR sentiment.
In the Euro-zone the Greek yield curve inverted on political unrest, the Balkan state 3-year notes spiked to 8.275%, 10-year yields advanced higher than V-day. Widening core/periphery yields pushed EUR/USD higher, the 40-day rolling correlation reached hr, EUR/USD advanced to 1.2448. Tomorrow is a vital day for the EUR. The second spherical of TLTRO disposal, if remains soft, ought to increase QE expectations and push EUR/USD back to its securities industry. we tend to stay merchandiser on rallies on light-weight choice bids trailing higher than 1.2400+ for nowadays ending. the choice market is inclined on the draw back below 1.25 from tomorrow.
In China, the buyer costs accelerated at the slower-than-expected pace of 1.4% in year to November (vs. 1.6% exp. & last), the producer costs decelerated at faster-than-expected -2.7% y/y (vs. -2.4% exp. & -2.2% last). it's been a volatile commercialism session for China. USD/CNY sold-off from 6.1988 to 6.1681, back in its weekly Ichimoku cloudiness (6.1533/6.1940) needless to say. The soft inflation figures will definitely keep the PBoC-doves alert and keep USD/CNY well bid higher than 6.1500/33 (psychological level / Fibonacci 50% on January-April rally).
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Market Brief
The Japan GDP narrowed 0.5% on third quarter (vs. -0.1% q/q exp. & -0.4% last), the annualized alteration has been -1.9%. The personal consumption stable at 0.4% q/q, nevertheless the business payment unexpectedly narrowed by 0.9% q/q. Combined to Friday’s astonishingly high NFPs, USD/JPY advanced to the recent high of 121.85 in Yeddo. EUR/JPY tests a hundred and fifty offers. The deeply overbought conditions (RSI 83%) counsel stormy upper side, whereas the high volatilities widen the Bollinger bands with higher finish holding at 122.80 on USD/JPY chart. The snap elections square measure due on Dec ordinal, we tend to stay long gamma on JPY-crosses on.

The worst performers of this weekday verse USD are AUD and NZD. The surprising contraction in Chinese imports (-6.7% on year to November) pushed AUD/USD to 0.8266. Given the macro fundamentals and also the moderate international recovery, AUD/USD is anticipated to continue its steady slide toward eighty cents, levels thought to try and do some sensible to Australian economy. The ore delivered to China stay below $72, 5 year lows. NZD/USD slipped below the previous low of 0.7661.With stronger draw back momentum, the main focus shifts to 0.75s, 2012 lows.

Chinese equities saw sensible demand (with Shanghai’s composite adding third before slightly easing) as traders bet for any PBoC intervention to form guaranteed to fight the lag in Chinese economy. China releases November inflation figures on weekday. the patron costs square measure expected stable at 1.6%, whereas producer costs square measure seen are 2.4% down (vs. -2.2% prior). Soft inflation figures can offer area to PBoC for additional easing and trigger another wave of sell-off in Yuan. USD/CNY advanced to 6.1624. Next target zone stands at 6.1790/6.1803 (200-dma / Fib 61.8% on January-April rally).

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Forex forecast

Today 05/12/2014 live signal. http://www.fxpipsignal.com/

EUR/USD
BUY- 1.2364, TP- 1.2402, SL- 1.2310

USD/JPY
SELL- 120.14, TP- 119.84, SL- 120.74

GBP/USD
BUY- 1.5623, TP- 1.5670, SL- 1.5500

USD/CHF
SELL- 0.9722, TP- 0.9686, SL- 0.9776

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Market Brief
The denizen took another dive long amid the Australian value unexpectedly slowed to 0.3% q/q (vs. 0.7% exp. & 0.5% last). The value y/y has been revised right down to 2.7% for the half-moon, and remained stable at this level in Q3 (vs. 3.1% exp. & last release). AUD/USD three-legged right down to contemporary  four year low of 0.8389. Stronger pessimistic momentum suggests additional draw back. within the mid-run, we have a tendency to anticipate a gentle slide toward 80 cents.

In New Sjaelland, the NZD/USD sold-off to 0.7767 amid the total dried milk worth fell another 7.1% at the most recent Fonterra auction. The 0.7% contraction in residential building approvals and slower than expected increase in price of buildings in 3Q additional to serious sentiment. an in depth below 0.7820 ought to keep the bias on the draw back.

USD/JPY and JPY crosses listed mixed in national capital. consistent with Markit, the Japanese services and composite PMI stepped within the growth zone in Nov (above 50). USD/JPY advanced to 119.44, contemporary seven year high. Solid offers square measure plausible at pre-120 (psychological level) before the Dec ordinal snap elections. however the choice bids square measure accessory of gains, giant 120-strike decision can come back to maturity tomorrow. Given the political uncertainties, tries on top of a 120 ought to face correction. we have a tendency to believe a confirmation of support to Abenomics is required for property gains on top of a hundred and twenty. The sentiment in EUR/JPY turns delicate. The daily Ichimoku conversion line heads downward (147.01). The broad EUR sell-off ought to additional weigh down the cross.

EUR/USD tests 1.2358/60 territories because the peaceful bets dominate before Thursday’s ECB.giant choice barriers path below 1.2375/1.2400 for on termination. The USA ADP scan is due nowadays, any positive surprise ought to place the 1.2358 low in danger. Stops square measure popeyed below.

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Market Brief
As expected, the RBA maintained its target money rate unchanged at a pair 2.50% for the16 th consecutive month. Given the weak artifact markets and moderate growth, Governor Stevens reiterated “the most prudent course is probably going to be a amount of stability in interest rates”. The RBA expressed that the indweller continues to be thought of overvalued, “lower charge per unit is probably going to be required to realize balanced growth”. AUD/USD rebounded from yesterday’s lows and rallied to 0.8543, because the announcement of establishment uncoiled RBA-doves. The narrower-than-expected accounting deficit (AUD -12.5bn vs. -13.5bn exp. & -13.7bn last) helped sustaining recovery. Trend and momentum indicators stay pessimistic but with mixed possibility bets at 0.85. a gradual descend to eighty cents is envisaged. AUD/NZD tests the Fib 23.6% on July-Sept uplift (1.0784). The bias remains on the draw back, whereas the Fonterra auction is seen because the major NZD risk tonight.

USD/CNY take a look at the Fib 50% on Jan-April rally. The top pressures ought to push the combine higher, with next resistance placed at 6.1786/6.1803 (200-dma / Fib 61.8%). The Chinese equities dilated gains for the second consecutive day: suspend Seng Index else 1.37%, Shanghai’s Composite rallied 3.11% (at the time of writing) on speculations that the PBoC couldadd a lot of financial information.

In Japan, the labor money earnings grew at the slower pace of0.5% in year to October (vs. 0.8% exp. & last) keeping USD/JPY and JPY crosses bid in Tokyo, Nikkei stocks listed within the inexperienced because the gloomy economic information favors pacifist BoJ bets. USD/JPY tests 119.00 offers, with waning optimistic momentum though. The uncertainties before Gregorian calendar month snap elections can doubtless keep the resistance solid at 120s. possibility bids square measure adjunct higher than 117.85/118.00. EUR/JPY trades with lower enthusiasm, nonetheless higher than the daily conversion line (147.36). The broadly speaking EUR-short read ought to keep the top restricted before Thursday’s ECB meeting. A slide below the conversion line ought to signal a short-run pessimistic reversal pattern.
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It provides alerts via sms, Email and Updated in the website.

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Forex Signals & Trading Sollution
Fx Pip partnership Limited is a group of professional traders with many years of experience and significant success in the field of investments. Our Porfessional and experienced team with their excellence of technical and analysis guides our clients all the way during the trade and provide live guide in taking right decision on the way to their trade All the members of our team, utilizing in the best way their scientific background and their excellent professionalism, achieve the best results. The Fx Pip Signal which has at its disposal its Research and Development department, has an aim to offer the international community of traders, the most reliable solution to the most difficult daily questions, such as: which product do we buy and which do we sell, at what price do we enter the market and at what price do we exit?
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The main objective of Fx Pip Signal is to provide reliable Forex signal delivering platform to send Forex signal consistently besides ensuring this service economically feasible so that everyone in the world can trade Forex using better approach. We use a modern forex analyzing system for making professional signal and analysis for our customers. With a regular adjustment of the services to the market requirements, Fx Pip Signal offers its customers and partners an online trading system to easily execute the forex transactions in real time. Transparency, reliability and precision are key elements for success. We use high end valuable recourses and applications, combined with the professional skills of our staff, to provide good quality, and low cost forex forecasts and trading signals to our subscribers, which are incomparable with any other similar services. We try to squeeze every pip out of the forex market.
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Market Brief
The German GDP grew 0.1% q/q in 3Q, 1.2% y/y. Markets gave very little reaction to smart German knowledge as a lot of necessary considerations occupy the headlines within the Euro-zone, the QE being one in all them. EUR/USD opened the week right down to 1.2360 following “broader quality purchases” hinted by Draghi on November 21st speech. Trend and momentum indicators weaken. The MACD can step in red zone for a daily shut below 1.2343. good vanilla expiries ought to cap the side pre-1.25. EUR/GBP listed in tight vary of 0.79175/276 long (daily Ichi cloud).

GBP/USD trades range-bound. The formation of optimistic engulfing (conviction 5/9) hints at higher short outlook, a daily shut higher than 1.5692 (MACD pivot) ought to push for side correction. Last week’s double high 1.5736/37 is nevertheless to be broken to substantiate a optimistic reversal. BoE Governor Carney’s speech before the lawmakers ought to offer recent direction to GBP-complex nowadays. revived political orientation ought to halt the development in technicals and reverse short tendency toward 1.55 target.

The China 7-day repo fixing fell 20 bps to 3.3%, USD/CNY extended gains to 6.1405. With optimistic momentum developing, we have a tendency to see area for more side. Next line of resistance is seen at 6.1500/33 (optionality / Fib five hundredth on January-April rally), then 6.1774/6.1803 (200-dma / Fib 61.8%).

USD/JPY and JPY crosses were sluggish in Tokyo, the pacifistic BoJ minutes were offset by political uncertainties and also the want for business enterprise reforms. USD/JPY consolidates gains at year high levels, nevertheless the restricted appetency before Dec snap elections ought to keep the resistance solid pre-120. EUR/JPY bulls lose ground.
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Market Brief
The Chinese equities kick-started the week; HSI rallied to twenty three,936 , Shanghai’s Composite extended gains to 3 year highs following PBoC’s  25 bits per second cut (to 2.75%) in 1-year deposit rate and forty bits per second cut (to 5.6%) in 1-year disposal rate once the Asian shut on weekday. USD/CNY bust the Sep-Nov downtrend channel prime, rallied to6.1378 for the primary time since Oct eighth. The measures aim to lower company funding prices and to spice upthe economic recovery. PBoC cuts ought to additionally cure the liquidity squeezes skilled last week. we tend to expect consolidation on top of above 6.1280/6.1348 (50-dma / the daily Ichimoku cloud base) and see deeper face correction.

AUD, NZD and EM currencies were higher bid on Chinese news. AUD/USD surged to 0.8723 on weekday, the momentum indicators gained some positive traction, nonetheless not enough to clear resistance at 21-dma (0.8705). a lot of offers area unit one-eyed pre-0.8796 (Nov high).

EUR/USD opened musical rhythm as Asian traders adjusted positions to Friday’s pacifistic Draghi, the try tested Gregorian calendar month lows (1.2358) at the gap. ECB aforementioned the ABS purchases started last weekday. At his speech in European Banking Congress on Gregorian calendar month twenty first, ECB President Draghi aforementioned to think about broader plus purchases if the present program remains inefficient. it's like ECB is brazenly getting ready field for a correct QE. The Spanish 10y yields fell below two for the primary time, Italian and French 10-year yields additionally advanced to record lows. The sentiment in EUR turns negative, EUR/USD ought to presently leave of optimistic correction zone, 1.2350/60 support is to be cleared. EUR/GBP tumbled all the way down to 100-dma (0.79193), the bull momentum took a significant hit. EUR/GBP tests the 30-day mid-Bollinger band (0.79041) on the draw back. we tend to see any space on the draw back. Next resistance is one-eyed at 50-dma (0.78848).
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Market Brief
The JPY crosses rallied to fresh highs as Japanese trade balance deficit narrowed from 958.3 billion to 710.0 billion yen in October (vs. -1,027bn exp.). USD/JPY tests 119.00 as European traders jump in. The bullish trend gains pace, large vanilla calls from 117.50/75 to 118.00 should give support today. Key resistance is placed at 120.00. EUR/JPY surged to 149.14. Deep overbought conditions (RSI at 81%) should lead to profit taking into 150.00/152.00 zone.
The heavy EUR/JPY demand keeps the EUR/USD well bid. Trend and momentum indicators are marginally positive. Offers stand at 1.2577/78 (Nov 4th & 17th highs). More resistance is eyed at 1.2722/44 (daily Ichimoku cloud base / Fib 23.6% on May—Nov sell-off). EUR/GBP holds ground at 0.80, tests 200-dma (0.80538). Strong resistance is seen at this level as it has been more than a year the EUR/GBP has not traded above its 200-dma. EUR/CHF trades at 1.2010/15 despite new election polls on Gold referendum showed significant shift to “no” camp.
The Cable advanced to 1.5721 amid the BoE minutes were less dovish than expected. The UK retail sales (at 09:30 GMT) should determine whether the GBP/USD will push for deeper short-term correction clearing 1.5700-1.5800 option barriers or the 1.55 target will remain up to date.
Released yesterday, Fed minutes pushed USD higher against all G10 and EM currencies. Minutes mentioned that the weak economic outlook in Euro-zone, China and Japan should have little impact on the US recovery. Some members were concerned that the inflation may remain below the target for some more time. The US October CPI is due today (13:30 GMT), the CPI is expected to decelerate by 0.1% on month. Any positive surprise should push for further USD gains. The US 10-year yields remain below 2.40%, the DXY index resists pre-88.000.
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Free signals are provided as a part of proof for our service.It is provided as per the decission of the signal management committee.
We provide worldwide trading alert via sms, email
and website on major currency pairs GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/JPY

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Market Brief
On prime of the official announcement to delay nuisance tax hike and to dissolve parliament, the BoJ left its policy unchanged today; the annual financial growth target was unbroken steady at eighty trillion yen. there's talk about additional stimulation to come back ought to the ruling coalition survive the snap elections in Dec. The JPY-bears jumped back on the trend, pushed USD/JPY to recent high of 117.42 in Edo. The optimistic momentum revived. Offers area unit seen at 107.50/108.00, whereas giant possibility connected bids at 117.00 ought to provide support nowadays. EUR/JPY hit a recent 6-year high of 147.03.
Heavy EUR/JPY demand unbroken EUR/USD well bid higher than 1.2500 nightlong. The combine presently tests the 21-dma (1.2541), offers stands at 1.2577/78 (Nov fourth & seventeenth highs). additional resistance is sharp-eyed at 1.2721/44 (daily Ichimoku cloud base / Fib 33.6% on May—Nov sell-off). EUR/GBP clears offers at 0.80+, advances toward 200-dma (0.80549). sturdy resistance is seen at this level because it has been quite a year the EUR/GBP has unlisted higher than its 200-dma.
NZD written biggest losses versus USD because the dairy farm costs and volumes born at latest Fonterra auction, the GDT fell three.1%. ought to the NZD/JPY demand stays, the sell-off ought to hit very cheap at 0.7800/33 (optionality / 21-dma).
The Bank of European nation and Fed unleash its meeting minutes nowadays. GBP/USD didn't rebound on higher CPI scan yesterday. we have a tendency to expect very little reaction to BoE minutes, only if last week’s QIR sufficiently unconcealed the pacifist shift at the BoE. Trend and momentum indicators counsel the extension of losses toward 1.55 following Oct-Nov downtrend base. The USD is generally stronger before the Fed minutes. Following the newest political orientation, markets anticipate slight pacifist shift in Fed outlook given the main target on world macro risks. we have a tendency to keep our optimistic read on USD as sooner or later, the Fed is moving toward standardization.

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Market Brief
In Japan, USD/JPY and JPY crosses area unit higher bid as discussions on excise tax hike delay occupy the headlines. The PM consultant Hamada says it'd be natural to delay the hike by some year and a 0.5, the BoJ doesn’t have to be compelled to proceed with further input. Meanwhile, the minister Aso highlights that raising taxes are going to be inescapable at some purpose to finance country’s deficit. Lower JPY appetency remains restricted before official announcement. Nikkei stocks recover 2.18%, Topix re-tests 1,400. USD/JPY sees resistance pre-107.05 (fresh 7 year high hit yesterday before value release). Stops area unit eyed higher than. On the draw back, bids ought to get play at 115.00/115.56 (optionality / post-GDP reaction low). EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY consolidate gains at  145.15/58 and 101.473/810 respectively.
Overseas, the RBA minutes showed the preference for stable rates continues. The BoJ input and therefore the GPIF shift to foreign, risk assets are the new talking points that might keep AUD bid. AUD/USD sentiment remains positive. Offers area unit seen pre-0.88, additional resistance is eyed at 0.8870/0.8911 space (Fib 38.2% on Sep-Nov sell-off / Oct 29 th high).

In China, the foreign direct investments swollen 1.3% on year to Gregorian calendar month (vs. 1.1% exp. & 1.9% last). USD/CNY legged right down to 6.1185. Trend and momentum indicators stay marginally optimistic, sustained by metropolis financial Authority providing ten billion yuan liquidity via intraday repo facilities since last week to manage the liquidity risk associated with the exchange association. The key support zone stands at  6.1015/83 (Aug-Nov downtrend channel base / Oct 31st low).
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Market Brief
The week starts with dangerous news out of Japan. Japanese economy unexpectedly entered recession amid 3Q preliminary GDP reading showed 1.7% q/q annualized contraction (vs. 2.2% exp. & previous -7.1% revised all the way down to -7.3%). The impact of April’s excise tax hike has been heavier than anticipated on the Abenomics. The PM Abe is shortly expected to delay hike in excise taxand announce snap elections in Dec. USD/JPY and JPY crosses took a dive in national capital, Nikkei stocks started the week -2.96% lower. USD/JPY hit the contemporary high of 117.05 before tumbling to 115.46 post-GDP. Once the negative GDP digestible, the anticipation for additional growth validatory live ought to continue giving support to JPY-crosses. choice bidsarea unit seen at 115+. additional support is given at 113.86/112.45 (Nov 3th low / Nov tenth low). On the same pattern, EUR/JPY advanced to contemporary year of 146.53 before correction.

Released on Friday, the U.S.A. retail sales information stunned on the face in October unharness. The headline retail sales grew 0.3% on month (vs 0.2% exp. & -0.3% last), retail sales ex-autos and gas surged 0.6% m/m (vs. 0.4% exp. & -0.1% last). EUR/USD shortly tested 1.2400 bids and rebounded to shut the week at 1.2525, causation MACD within the inexperienced zone. The short-run technicals currently hint at deeper face correction. Resistance is seen at one.2688/97 (50-dma / daily Ichimoku base), then 1.2744 (Fibonacci 23.6% on May-November drop). EUR/GBP tests 0.80 resistance. With strengthening optimistic momentum, the main focus shifts to 200-dma (0.80573).
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