Friday, November 14, 2014

Currency Trading Signal

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Market Brief

USD/JPY created a recent side try of 116.38 on specs that Japan is moving toward a delay in nuisance tax hike. The weakening bull momentum ought to limit the appetence for lower JPY till next Monday’s value unleash, nevertheless markets area unit clearly valuation in a very weak print. counting on what mood the Japan can come to life next weekday, 118/120 may quickly become future target zone (base case scenario) or a sizeable correction can hit the market. Lightweight possibility bids can probably offer support at 115.75/116.00 before the week-end. EUR/JPY advanced to 144.84. The key resistance is placed at 145.69 (Dec 27 high). The JPY weakness push AUD, NZD upward. AUD/USD tests 0.8732/44 (21-dma / Fib 23.6% on Sep-Nov sell-off), NZD/USD checks 0.7928/38 offers (50-dma / Fib 23.6% on Jul-Nov drop). the main focus can shift to US retail sales information before the weekend.

EUR/USD advanced to 1.2492 in ny yesterday, ny Fed Dudley’s involve some patience before the US policy social control offset the soft CPI releases across the leading Euro-zone economies, the softness being already priced in. Today, EUR-traders watch the EZ combination CPI and therefore the 3Q preliminary value information. Markets anticipate improvement in 3Q growth figures across the EZ. the first figures area unit encouraging: French and German value accelerated, from 0.0% to 0.3% q/q in France, from -0.2% to 0.1% q/q in 3Q. EUR/USD might step in short-run optimistic consolidation zone. The MACD can step within the inexperienced zone for a weekly shut on top of 1.2475. possibility barriers at 1.2500/50 ought to show some resistance before the closing bell. The strengthening optimistic momentum sent EUR/GBP on top of its daily Ichimoku cloudiness (0.78747/0.79163). we have a tendency to see space for more side correction. tight possibility bidsarea unit seen at 0.7900/0.7950 this Fri. The key resistance is placed at 0.80400/600 (Sep/Oct highs). EUR/CHF stabilizes within the tight vary of 1.2017/25, perilously nearing SNB’s 1.20 floor. The charge per unit  futures continue mercantilism on top of par (price in negative rates) as pressures on the ground stay tight.


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