Monday, November 24, 2014

Currency Trading Signal

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Market Brief
The Chinese equities kick-started the week; HSI rallied to twenty three,936 , Shanghai’s Composite extended gains to 3 year highs following PBoC’s  25 bits per second cut (to 2.75%) in 1-year deposit rate and forty bits per second cut (to 5.6%) in 1-year disposal rate once the Asian shut on weekday. USD/CNY bust the Sep-Nov downtrend channel prime, rallied to6.1378 for the primary time since Oct eighth. The measures aim to lower company funding prices and to spice upthe economic recovery. PBoC cuts ought to additionally cure the liquidity squeezes skilled last week. we tend to expect consolidation on top of above 6.1280/6.1348 (50-dma / the daily Ichimoku cloud base) and see deeper face correction.

AUD, NZD and EM currencies were higher bid on Chinese news. AUD/USD surged to 0.8723 on weekday, the momentum indicators gained some positive traction, nonetheless not enough to clear resistance at 21-dma (0.8705). a lot of offers area unit one-eyed pre-0.8796 (Nov high).

EUR/USD opened musical rhythm as Asian traders adjusted positions to Friday’s pacifistic Draghi, the try tested Gregorian calendar month lows (1.2358) at the gap. ECB aforementioned the ABS purchases started last weekday. At his speech in European Banking Congress on Gregorian calendar month twenty first, ECB President Draghi aforementioned to think about broader plus purchases if the present program remains inefficient. it's like ECB is brazenly getting ready field for a correct QE. The Spanish 10y yields fell below two for the primary time, Italian and French 10-year yields additionally advanced to record lows. The sentiment in EUR turns negative, EUR/USD ought to presently leave of optimistic correction zone, 1.2350/60 support is to be cleared. EUR/GBP tumbled all the way down to 100-dma (0.79193), the bull momentum took a significant hit. EUR/GBP tests the 30-day mid-Bollinger band (0.79041) on the draw back. we tend to see any space on the draw back. Next resistance is one-eyed at 50-dma (0.78848).
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