Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Currency Trading Signal

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Market Brief
In Japan, USD/JPY and JPY crosses area unit higher bid as discussions on excise tax hike delay occupy the headlines. The PM consultant Hamada says it'd be natural to delay the hike by some year and a 0.5, the BoJ doesn’t have to be compelled to proceed with further input. Meanwhile, the minister Aso highlights that raising taxes are going to be inescapable at some purpose to finance country’s deficit. Lower JPY appetency remains restricted before official announcement. Nikkei stocks recover 2.18%, Topix re-tests 1,400. USD/JPY sees resistance pre-107.05 (fresh 7 year high hit yesterday before value release). Stops area unit eyed higher than. On the draw back, bids ought to get play at 115.00/115.56 (optionality / post-GDP reaction low). EUR/JPY and AUD/JPY consolidate gains at  145.15/58 and 101.473/810 respectively.
Overseas, the RBA minutes showed the preference for stable rates continues. The BoJ input and therefore the GPIF shift to foreign, risk assets are the new talking points that might keep AUD bid. AUD/USD sentiment remains positive. Offers area unit seen pre-0.88, additional resistance is eyed at 0.8870/0.8911 space (Fib 38.2% on Sep-Nov sell-off / Oct 29 th high).

In China, the foreign direct investments swollen 1.3% on year to Gregorian calendar month (vs. 1.1% exp. & 1.9% last). USD/CNY legged right down to 6.1185. Trend and momentum indicators stay marginally optimistic, sustained by metropolis financial Authority providing ten billion yuan liquidity via intraday repo facilities since last week to manage the liquidity risk associated with the exchange association. The key support zone stands at  6.1015/83 (Aug-Nov downtrend channel base / Oct 31st low).
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