Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Currency Trading Signal

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Market Brief
On prime of the official announcement to delay nuisance tax hike and to dissolve parliament, the BoJ left its policy unchanged today; the annual financial growth target was unbroken steady at eighty trillion yen. there's talk about additional stimulation to come back ought to the ruling coalition survive the snap elections in Dec. The JPY-bears jumped back on the trend, pushed USD/JPY to recent high of 117.42 in Edo. The optimistic momentum revived. Offers area unit seen at 107.50/108.00, whereas giant possibility connected bids at 117.00 ought to provide support nowadays. EUR/JPY hit a recent 6-year high of 147.03.
Heavy EUR/JPY demand unbroken EUR/USD well bid higher than 1.2500 nightlong. The combine presently tests the 21-dma (1.2541), offers stands at 1.2577/78 (Nov fourth & seventeenth highs). additional resistance is sharp-eyed at 1.2721/44 (daily Ichimoku cloud base / Fib 33.6% on May—Nov sell-off). EUR/GBP clears offers at 0.80+, advances toward 200-dma (0.80549). sturdy resistance is seen at this level because it has been quite a year the EUR/GBP has unlisted higher than its 200-dma.
NZD written biggest losses versus USD because the dairy farm costs and volumes born at latest Fonterra auction, the GDT fell three.1%. ought to the NZD/JPY demand stays, the sell-off ought to hit very cheap at 0.7800/33 (optionality / 21-dma).
The Bank of European nation and Fed unleash its meeting minutes nowadays. GBP/USD didn't rebound on higher CPI scan yesterday. we have a tendency to expect very little reaction to BoE minutes, only if last week’s QIR sufficiently unconcealed the pacifist shift at the BoE. Trend and momentum indicators counsel the extension of losses toward 1.55 following Oct-Nov downtrend base. The USD is generally stronger before the Fed minutes. Following the newest political orientation, markets anticipate slight pacifist shift in Fed outlook given the main target on world macro risks. we have a tendency to keep our optimistic read on USD as sooner or later, the Fed is moving toward standardization.

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